The indebtedness of households up until the economic adjustment programme for Portugal: an empirical assessment
https://doi.org/10.3326/pse.44.4.5 | Published online: December 1, 2020 Figure 1
Domestic credit to the private sector in Portugal as % of GDP, 1961‐2011
Source: World Bank (2013).
Figure 2
Long‐term interest rate for convergence purposes for Portugal, 1993‐2012
Source: ECB (2018).
Figure 3
Annual Portuguese GDP and DCPS growth rates, 1961‐2011
Source: World Bank (2013).
Table 1
Constant Markov transition probabilities matrix (all periods)
Figure 4
State probabilities of the DCPS‐to‐GDP ratio for Portugal, 1961‐2011
Source: Authors’ calculations.
Table 2
Granger causality tests
Table 3
Long-run estimates of Portuguese GDP and DCPS
Note: 46 observations for the 1961-2011 and 20 observations for the 1992-2011 period. Source: Authors’ calculations. T-statistics are in parenthesis. Table 4
Vector error correction (VEC) model estimations, 1961-1975
Note: 13 observations. Source: Authors’ calculations. T-statistics are in parenthesis. Table 5
VEC Model: Error‐correction coefficients, 1961-1975
Note: 13 observations. Source: Authors’ calculations. T-statistics are in parenthesis. Figure 5
Current account balance as % of GDP, 1980-2011
Source: IMF (2013).
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December, 2020 IV/2020 |